Conf = Centennial
Nickname = PA Bears Coach = Corey ShafGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1411743 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Randolph-Macon ODAC (16- 5, 92.9) 10-16 221 H Western Connecticut LEC (13- 5, 88.7) 10- 9 228 A Arcadia MAC-Freedom (10- 8, 88.0) 10-11 302 A DeSales MAC-Freedom (11- 7, 88.3) 16-12 306 H Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 8-11, 89.6) 12- 5 309 A RIT Liberty Leagu (21- 3, 99.8) 11-17 316 H St John Fisher Empire 8 (14- 8, 93.8) 7- 5 323 H Gettysburg Centennial (10- 8, 94.2) 9-14 327 H Kean CLC (12- 7, 90.3) 10-11 330 A McDaniel Centennial ( 6- 9, 86.6) 12- 4 406 A Haverford Centennial ( 7- 9, 89.6) 12-11 410 H Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 8, 93.2) 8-10 413 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.7) 12-10 417 A Swarthmore Centennial (15- 3, 95.8) 7-10 420 H Washington College Centennial ( 6-11, 90.4) 8- 9 427 A Dickinson Centennial (17- 3, 95.6) 8-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Randolph-Macon 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.65 221 H Western Connecticut 10- 9 1 3 - -2.19 228 A Arcadia 10-11 -1 2 - -3.50 302 A DeSales 16-12 4 2 1.80 306 H Eastern 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.65 309 A RIT 11-17 -6 -9 1.00 316 H St John Fisher 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.83 323 H Gettysburg 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.72 327 H Kean 10-11 -1 1 - -2.57 330 A McDaniel 12- 4 8 3 + 3.13 406 A Haverford 12-11 1 0 0.06 410 H Muhlenberg 8-10 -2 -1 -0.70 413 H Franklin & Marshall 12-10 2 1 0.81 417 A Swarthmore 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.32 420 H Washington College 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.51 427 A Dickinson 8-17 -9 -5 -1.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Randolph-Macon 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.65 221 H Western Connecticut 10- 9 1 3 - -2.19 228 A Arcadia 10-11 -1 2 - -3.50 323 H Gettysburg 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.72 327 H Kean 10-11 -1 1 - -2.57 420 H Washington College 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.51OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Eastern 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.65 316 H St John Fisher 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.83 330 A McDaniel 12- 4 8 3 + 3.13 417 A Swarthmore 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.32
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.21 Power Rank................. 43 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 27 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6637 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 41 RPI Rating............... .5531 RPI Rank................... 71 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 223 Selection sum ........... 223 Selection Rank ............ 66 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -155. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 123 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -145. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 111 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3